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15 Team Mock Draft with The Crab Army (Part 1)

A quick introduction: Hello, I'm Smada and I'm just another guy. You can find me on twitter dot com @smada_bb where I have fantasy baseball related tweets and pretend to know what I'm talking about. I currently only play in 1 league, a 30 team dynasty, but am planning bigger things for 2018. How I got in: I happened to be looking at Twitter at the right time (always) and saw Ralph Lifshitz ( @ProspectJesus ) of the Razzball Prospect Podcast advertising a couple open spots in a 15 team Crab Army mock draft. I clicked on the link about as fast as I could and typed in the password "crabshit". That's it, I was mocking with Ralph, the voice of someone I listen to on the way to work on Mondays! As the draft began, I realized I didn't want to make a fool of myself, so I did the opposite and started logging picks with blurbs on Twitter. If anything, writing the blurbs made myself justify each pick. I tried to hold myself accountable and not just take th

Fantrax ADP vs. Crab Army 15 Team Mock

A quick introduction: Hello, I'm Smada and I'm just another guy. You can find me on twitter dot com @smada_bb where I have fantasy baseball related tweets and pretend to know what I'm talking about. I currently only play in 1 league, a 30 team dynasty, but am planning bigger things for 2018. Value picks and reaches vs. Fantrax ADP: Fantrax recently released their early ADP and I thought it would be a good exercise to compare the ADPs to the picks in the 15 Team Crab Army Mock Draft . Settings - 15 team, 40 man roster (2 C, 1B, 2B, SS, 3B, MI, CI, 5 OF, 2 UTL, 15 P, 10 Bench) Due to Fantrax ADP not running as deep as the draft, I limited the two lists to the first 290 picks. Top 25 "Steals" vs. Fantrax ADP: Pitching fell in this draft. Three of the four top tier SP appear here, along with two of the top RP. There are also a few SS listed. Gio Gonzalez is pre-ranked pretty low on Couch Managers but still got passed over for a while after that

Luke Weaver's Inflated K/9

Fantasy baseball is my hobby, statistics & analytics is my day job. Over the last couple of days I've been doing some exploratory statistical analysis with 2017 SP results. It began when Eric Cross mentioned on twitter that Luke Weaver could be a top-30 SP in 2018: Gray is a decent option, but I love Weaver in 2018. Great K and BB rates, FIP was 3.17 which signals his 3.88 ERA was a tad inflated. Think Weaver could be a top-30 SP in 2018. #fantasybaseball https://t.co/ay9iXXNfp3 — Eric Cross (@EricCross04) January 1, 2018 I hadn't taken a big look at Weaver before seeing this tweet, but remembered is K/9 prior to getting called up wasn't all that great. In fact, at AAA in 2017 he had a 8.8 K/9 in 77 IP. So where did his improvement to 10.7 K/9 in 60 MLB IP come from? The first places I looked was swinging strike rate (SwStr%) and first pitch strike rate (F-Strike%). Surprisingly, both metrics didn't support the above average K/9 at all. SwStr% and F-Strike%

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